The winter 2014-2015 will really like the experts say, the coldest of the last century? In the Network alarming news on temperatures that await us in the coming months do not seem to leave hope rains and freezing temperatures caratterizzaranno next winter. But is there really to worry about? The surveys weather had predicted a hot and dry, and we all know how it went: a lot of rain and temperatures that rarely exceeded the alert sultry, with great desperation of workers in the tourism sector illegal party and farmers. So it is good to take with caution surveys disseminated by meteorological experts in early September.
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Forecasts and trends that have triggered panic on the web are based on the model of CFS, which takes into consideration the anomalies of expected temperatures in the winter months. Generally, the reliability illegal party of the forecast does not go beyond two weeks, becoming in the long run a detection of maximum, subject to numerous variants that can not necessarily be calculated, as not preventable. So, not being able to take into account possible distortions, we have to wait the next few months to have at least more precise predictions on the progress of winter.
For the record, however, we report the predictions made for the months of January and February 2014: estimates made by the computing center CFS see just two months full of cold, especially in January, which they did in fact speak the anomalous' public opinion for a possible winter among coldest ever recorded, even the coldest illegal party of the past 100 years. The weather expert Alessandro Azzoni, from his Facebook page, is not afraid of criticism, and it says safe ice of winter ahead of us: 'Do climate predictions for the coming winter is virtually illegal party impossible. Indeed, in some ways it is also unscientific. But the weather science has for years provided the most highly illegal party sophisticated software capable of processing billions of information and weather parameters and beyond. Due to this seasonal forecasts of many models already starting to talk about a colder season than usual, with temperatures of about 2 degrees below average. After the non-winter 2013-2014, so here's the surrender of General Winter '. Certainly Azzoni understood that the marketing alarmist always work: ready to pull out the coats and turn on the stove?
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